Clayton Bernoulli's Fallacy

Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
1. Auflage 2021
ISBN: 978-0-231-55335-3
Verlag: De Gruyter
Format: EPUB
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

E-Book, Englisch

Aubrey Clayton traces the history of the flaw that underlies modern statistics, beginning with the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli’s Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data—and how to fix it.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Clayton, Aubrey

Fachgebiete

• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften Interdisziplinär Naturwissenschaften, Technik, Medizin
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Mathematik Allgemein Geschichte der Mathematik
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Stochastik Bayesianische Inferenz
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Mathematik Allgemein Philosophie der Mathematik

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Preface
Acknowledgments
Introduction
1. What Is Probability?
2. The Titular Fallacy
3. Adolphe Quetelet’s Bell Curve Bridge
4. The Frequentist Jihad
5. The Quote-Unquote Logic of Orthodox Statistics
6. The Replication Crisis/Opportunity
7. The Way Out
Notes
Bibliography
Index

Über Autor(innen)

Aubrey Clayton is a mathematician who teaches the philosophy of probability and statistics at the Harvard Extension School. He holds a PhD from the University of California, Berkeley, and his writing has appeared in Pacific Standard, Nautilus, and the Boston Globe.