Hellwig The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process

Project Management in Prevention and Support
1. Auflage 2023
ISBN: 978-3-031-31190-1
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 77 Seiten, eBook

Reihe: Springer essentials

With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".

Zielgruppe

Professional/practitioner

Autoren/Hrsg.

Hellwig, Marcus

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor.- Objectives.- SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model.- Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state.- The “infection curve” I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function.- Random ranges of NV and Eqb.- Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb.- Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence.- Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback.- Representation of a process management.- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology.- Summary.

Über Autor(innen)

Marcus Hellwig  is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.