International Futures

Building and Using Global Models
Erscheinungsjahr 2019
ISBN: 978-0-12-804271-7
Verlag: William Andrew Publishing

Buch, Englisch, 330 Seiten, Format (B × H): 152 mm x 229 mm, Gewicht: 920 g

International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term, global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong, long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also outlining the major benefits of the IFs system.

Finally, the book provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems might most productively proceed in the coming years.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Hughes, Barry B.

Fachgebiete

• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Volkswirtschaftslehre Allgemein Wirtschaftsprognose
• Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit Soziale Gruppen/Soziale Themen Sozialprognosen
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Numerik und Wissenschaftliches Rechnen Angewandte Mathematik, Mathematische Modelle

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1. Introduction2. Building a Global Model: The Toolkit3. The Evolution of Global Modeling4. Introducing International Futures5. The Future of Human Development6. The Future of Socioeconomic Development7. The Future of Sustainable Development8. Feedbacks and Disruption: Sources of Uncertainty9. Looking Ahead: Global Models and the IFs System