Karlson / Bria / Lind Wireless Foresight

Scenarios of the Mobile World in 2015
1. Auflage 2004
ISBN: 978-0-470-85825-7
Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

E-Book, Englisch, 246 Seiten, E-Book

Wireless Foresight deals with the development of thewireless communications industry and technology during the comingten to fifteen years. Telecommunications is a global business ofenormous proportions and is one of the largest industries in theworld.
Written in a highly accessible and simple to read manner, thisbook is based around four scenarios of the wireless world in 2015.The focus is on the industry (i.e. infrastructure and terminalvendors, operators, and service developers and providers) as wellas on new players.
* Discusses the long-term developments described in the fourscenarios and also short term issues, for example the challengesfacing industry.
* Uncovers important areas for technological research anddiscusses the critical challenges facing industry, for example; thehigh cost for infrastructure, the slow spectrum release, thestampeding system complexity, radiation, battery capacity, and thethreat of a disruptive market change facing the telecommunicationsindustry.
* Offers a global approach whereby developments from around theworld are described.
* Employs the method of building full-scale scenarios as opposedto just identifying trends and making predictions.
Wireless Foresight is an invaluable and provocative readfor top and middle management, strategists, business developers,technology managers, and entrepreneurs in the telecom, datacom andinfocom industries alike. It is also of great interest to financialanalysts and academics.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Karlson, Bo

Bria, Aurelian

Lind, Jonas

Lönnqvist, Peter

Norlin, Cristian

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Preface.
1. Introduction.
The Wireless Industry at a Crossroads.
Be prepared for 2015.
Scenarios of the Wireless World of 2015.
Challenges for the Future.
Creating Scenarios.
Guide to the book.
PART I: SCENARIOS.
2. Wireless Explosion - Creative Destruction.
A Sunny Berlin day in 2015.
The Wireless Scene in 2015.
3. Slow Motion.
Ordinary Life in Stockholm and Business Life in Shanghai.
The Wireless Scene in 2015.
Wireless Technology in 2015.
4. Rediscovering Harmony.
A Weekday Morning in a Small Scandinavian Village.
The Wireless Scene in 2015.
Wireless Technology in 2015.
5. Big Moguls and Snoopy Governments.
Early April morning, Green Haven Gated Community, New York, US.
The Wireless Scene in 2015.
Wireless Technology in 2015.
PART II: DRIVERS OF DEVELOPMENT AND TECHNOLOGICAL IMPLICATIONS.
6. Trends and Fundamental Drivers.
Fourteen Trends Shaping the Scenarios.
Fundamental Drivers.
Theories Supporting Fundamental Drivers.
7. Technological Conclusions from Scenarios.
System Technology in 2015.
Mobile Terminals in 2015.
Mobile Services in 2015.
Part III - Challenges for the Future.
8. Challenges for Technical Research.
Low Cost Infrastructures and Services.
Seamless Mobility.
New and Advanced Services.
Usability and Human-Machine Interface.
Health and Environment.
A Need for Cross-disciplinary Research.
9. Challenges for the Wireless Industry.
Introduction.
The Challenges.
10. Challenges for Key Regions.
US.
Europe.
China.
Japan and South Korea.
Part IV - Moving Into the Future With Scenarios.
11. Scenario Thinking and Scenario Making.
Logics of Scenario Creation.
Making our Scenarios.
Other Studies About the Future.
12. Summary and Concluding Remarks.
The Book in Brief.
Moving into the Future.
Appendix A: User Segments.
Appendix B: Wireless Foresight at Wireless@KTH.
Glossary.
References.
Author Biographies.
Index.

Über Autor(innen)

Bo Karlson is Wireless@KTH's director of external relationsand general manager. He was the manager of the Wireless Foresightproject. Karlson holds a Ph.D. in industrial management from theRoyal Institute of Technology (KTH). Before joining Wireless@KTH,he was assistant professor in the Department for IndustrialEconomics and Management at KTH. His areas of expertise includeproject management. Organizational theory, business models,industrial development, and research methodology.
Aurelian Bria is currently pursuing a Ph.D. in theDepartment of Signals, Sensors and Systems at the Royal Instituteof Technology (KTH) in Stockholm. He received his M.Sc. degree inelectrical engineering from the Politehnica University ofBucharest, Romania, in 1989. In autumn 2000 he joined the Swedishstrategic research program Personal computing and Communication(PCC), starting his research in the field of wirelessinfrastructure.
Peter Lönnquist holds an M.Sc. degree in psychologyand in 2001 he became a Ph.D. student at the Swedish GraduateSchool for Human-Machine Interaction. Formerly a member of theHuman-Computer Interaction and Language Engineering Laboratory atthe Swedish Institute of Computer Science (SICS), he now doesresearch in the design and evaluation of ubiquitous serviceenvironments and "the disappearing computer" in theFUSE group at the Department of Computer and Systems Sciences ofthe IT-University in Kista.
Cristian Norlin holds an M.A. in interaction design fromthe Royal College of Art in London. He also holds a B.Sc. inmultimedia education and technology from Stockholm University.Based in Stockholm, he is working as a consultant focusing onhuman-computer interaction in areas of concept development,interface design for digital technologies and products, anduser-centered development processes.
Jonas Lind is a researcher at the center for Informationand Communications Research (CIC) at Stockholm School of Economics,where his research focus is structural changes during the lifecycle of the IT and telecom industry. Before rejoining academia, hewas a strategy consultant in an internet consulting firm and asenior advisor at Telia headquarters. Lind holds an M.Sc. inengineering and an Econ. Lic. Degree in businessadministration.