Business Planning for Turbulent Times

New Methods for Applying Scenarios
2. Auflage 2010
ISBN: 978-1-84971-061-9
Verlag: Routledge

Buch, Englisch, 336 Seiten, Format (B × H): 156 mm x 234 mm, Gewicht: 515 g

Reihe: The Earthscan Science in Society Series

The world is increasingly turbulent and complex, awash with disruptions, tipping points and knock-on effects exemplified by the implosion of financial markets and economies around the globe.

This book is for business and organizational leaders who want and need to think through how best to deal with increasing turbulence, and with the complexity and uncertainty that come with it. The authors explain in clear language how future orientation and, specifically, modern scenario techniques help to address these conditions. They draw on examples from a wide variety of international settings and circumstances including large corporations, inter-governmental organizations, small firms and municipalities. Readers will be inspired to try out scenario approaches themselves to better address the turbulence that affects them and others with whom they work, live and do business.

This second edition extends the use of scenarios planning and methods to tackle the risk and uncertainty of financial markets and the potentially massive impacts on businesses of all kinds, providing powerful tools to give far thinking executives an advantage in these turbulent times.

Zielgruppe

Professional Practice & Development

Autoren/Hrsg.

Ramirez, Rafael

Selsky, John W.

Heijden, Kees Van Der

Fachgebiete

• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Betriebswirtschaft Management Unternehmensführung
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Betriebswirtschaft Management Unternehmensorganisation & Entwicklungsstrategien
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Datenanalyse, Datenverarbeitung

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Preface * Part I * Introduction: Why Write This Book and for Whom? * Conceptual and Historical Overview * How Do Scenario Practices and Search Conferences Complement Each Other? * Reflecting on Scenario Practice: The Contribution of a Soft Systems Perspective * New Forms of Coherence for the Social Engagement of the Social Scientist: The Theory and Facilitation of Organizational Change from the Perspective of the Emery-Trist Systems Paradigm and the Ilya Prigogine School of Thought * Part II * Turbulence in the Indian Agricultural Sector: A Scenario Analysis * Swarm Planning: A New Design Paradigm Dealing with Long-Term Problems Associated with Turbulence * Designing More Effective Political Governance of Turbulent Fields: The Case of Healthcare * To What Extent Do Venezuela‘s Causal Textures Allow Scenarios to Work towards Social Dialogue? * Part III * Managing Disruptive Change and Turbulence through Continuous Change Thinking and Scenarios * Scenarios that Provide Clarity in Addressing Turbulence * From Causal Textures to Predetermined Elements to New Realities in Scenario Thinking and Practice * Conceptions of Fairness and Forming the Common Ground * Turbulence and Corporate Social Responsibility: Is There a Role for Scenarios? * Turbulence, Business Planning and the Unfolding 'Crisis': The Canary in the Mind * Part IV * Conclusion: The Conjuncture of Scenarios and Causal Textures - Contributions and Progress * Index

Über Autor(innen)

Rafael Ramírez is James Martin Senior Research Fellow in Futures at the Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, Said Business School, University of Oxford. He co-chairs the World Economic Forum's 'Global Agenda Council on Strategic Foresight'.

John W. Selsky is Associate Professor of Management, College of Business, University of South Florida Polytechnic.

Kees van der Heijden is Emeritus Professor of Strategic Management at Strathclyde University Business School, Glasgow, and currently Fellow in Strategic Management at Templeton College and Said Business School, University of Oxford.