China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2017
2017. Auflage 2017
ISBN: 978-981-10-6122-6
Verlag: Springer Nature Singapore

Buch, Englisch, 65 Seiten, Format (B × H): 159 mm x 244 mm, Gewicht: 281 g

Reihe: Current Chinese Economic Report Series

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM, the research team forecasts China’s major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including GDP growth rate, CPI, PPI, investment in fixed assets, household consumption, imports, exports, and foreign reserves. Moreover, it simulates different scenarios to study the effects of macroeconomic policy on the Chinese economy. In addition to helping readers to understand China’s economic trends and policies, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy.

Zielgruppe

Research

Fachgebiete

• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Internationale Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaften einzelner Länder und Regionen
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Volkswirtschaftslehre Allgemein Ökonometrie
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Volkswirtschaftslehre Allgemein Makroökonomie
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Volkswirtschaftslehre Allgemein Wirtschaftsprognose

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Preface.- Acknowledgements.- Executive Summary.- 1 China Economic Performance In 2016.- 2 Quarterly Forecast for 2017-18.- 3 Policy Simulation: Effects of Rebalancing the Chinese Economy.- 4 Policy Implications and Suggestions.- 5 Comments and discussion.- Appendix Report on China's Macroeconomic Situation and Policy Questionnaire.