Buch, Englisch, 74 Seiten, Format (B × H): 155 mm x 235 mm, Gewicht: 1416 g
Buch, Englisch, 74 Seiten, Format (B × H): 155 mm x 235 mm, Gewicht: 1416 g
Reihe: SpringerBriefs in Applied Sciences and Technology
ISBN: 978-3-319-01037-3
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions.
The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.
Zielgruppe
Research
Autoren/Hrsg.
Fachgebiete
- Technische Wissenschaften Technik Allgemein Modellierung & Simulation
- Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften Interdisziplinär Friedens- und Konfliktforschung
- Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Internationale Beziehungen Konflikt- und Friedensforschung, Rüstungskontrolle, Abrüstung
- Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Politische Gewalt Revolutionäre Gruppen und Bewegungen, Bewaffnete Konflikte
- Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Numerik und Wissenschaftliches Rechnen Angewandte Mathematik, Mathematische Modelle
Weitere Infos & Material
Conflict Data Sets and Point Patterns.- Theory.- Modelling and Prediction in Conflict: Afghanistan.
